Flood Risk and Coastal Management

Research on flood risk and coastal management is having a major influence in the rapid shift of policy in the UK and Europe from flood defence to flood risk management. Our national scale flood defence reliability analysis method now forms the basis of the EA's National Flood Risk Assessments and has also been used in the OST Foresight Flooding project. We are continuing to enhance our suite of probabilistic and process-based models of coastal cliff recession. Our SCAPE model provides the morphological engine for the Tyndall Centre's Regional Coastal Simulator. The Thames Estuary has been a focus of our modelling of coastal flooding under present and future climates. Our work on quantified flood risk analysis is developing sampling-based reliability analysis methodologies, variance-based sensitivity analysis and imprecise probability theory.

Current Projects

Academic Staff


PhD students

  • Reza Amouzgar
  • Robert Bertsch
  • Samantha Mahaffey
  • Blanca Garcia Navarrete
  • Purwantis Sri Pudyastuti
  • Luke Smith
  • Kenan Toklu
  • Jingchun Wang
  • Miao Wang
  • Xilin Xia
  • Hongbin Zhang