Lucy Manning
Research Associate

  • Email:
  • Telephone: +44 (0) 191 208 5921
  • Fax: +44 (0) 191 208 6502
  • Address: School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences
    Room 3.21
    Cassie Building
    Newcastle University
    Newcastle upon Tyne
    NE1 7RU


I joined the Water Group of the School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences at Newcastle in 2005 as a postdoctoral researcher, after a number of years’ experience of mathematical modelling and signal processing in the oil and gas industry, focussing on the safety and reliability of oil and gas transport.


PhD Civil Engineering (Newcastle University, 2011) Thesis title: Bayesian calibration of fluvial flood models

Diploma in Statistics (Open University, 2001)

BSc Mathematics (Bristol University, 1978)

Previous positions

Scientist, Shell Research, 1978-1981.
Mathematician / Senior Engineer (Signal Processing), British Gas 1982-1988
Integrity Engineer, GE Energy, 2001-2004.


Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society (2010)


Research Interests

Impact of climate change on spatially distributed infrastructure systems.

Model calibration methods.

Current work

The development of a simulation model for extreme winds throughout the UK, in current and future climate, for use in reliability assessment of distributed infrastructure networks.

Postgraduate supervision

Golnaz Jahanshahi (PhD; co-supervisor) Uncertainties in the long-term management of water resources

Postgraduate Teaching

CEG8501 / CEG8502 Quantitative Methods in Engineering (Statistics)