Publications

This is a short list of some of our highest profile and/or most significant publications in terms of their impact and methodological innovation.  These papers serve as a good introduction to our research, but much more can be found, including full publication lists for CESER researchers, on individual profile pages

Bayesian calibration of a flood inundation model using spatial data

This paper demonstrates the use of a Bayesian approach to computer model calibration, where the calibration data are in the form of spatial observations of flood extent...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 13:13:01 BST

Sensitivity analysis for hydraulic models

This paper reviews a range of methods for sensitivity analysis and illustrates the more general applicability of variance-based sensitivity analysis to understand non-linear models...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 13:12:56 BST

Imprecise probability of crossing tipping points in the Earth System

We have elicited subjective probability intervals for the occurrence of major climate disruptions such as the restructuring of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Ice sheets, the Amazon rainforest and ENSO...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 13:12:50 BST

A Remote Sensing Approach for Landslide Hazard Assessment on Engineered Slopes

Earthworks such as embankments and cuttings are integral to road and rail networks but can be prone to instability, necessitating rigorous and continual monitoring. To date, the potential of remote sensing for earthwork hazard assessment...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:16:35 BST

Full-scale testing to assess climate effects on embankments

A unique facility for engineering and biological research has been established with the aim of improving fundamental understanding of the effects of climate change on slopes. This paper describes the building and monitoring of a...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:16:40 BST

Characterising soil moisture in transport corridor environments using...

Much of the world's transport networks are located on cutting and embankment earthworks. In the UK, many of these earthwork structures were constructed in the mid-19th century and are susceptible to slope instability. Instability in...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:15:36 BST

Factors Influencing Pulse Width of Small Footprint , Full Waveform Airborne...

Small footprint, full waveform airborne laser scanning provides the opportunity to derive high-resolution geometric and physical information simultaneously from a single scanner system. This study evaluates the influence of...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:16:45 BST

An evaluation of thermal Earth observation for characterising urban heatwave...

Urban areas have a high sensitivity to extreme temperature events such as heatwaves due to increased absorption and re-radiation of thermal energy from man-made materials as well as anthropogenic heat outputs...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:16:50 BST

An agent-based model for risk-based flood incident management

Effective flood incident management (FIM) requires successful operation of complex, interacting human and technological systems. A dynamic agent-based model of FIM processes has been developed to provide new insights which...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:16:56 BST

Integrated analysis of risks of coastal flooding & cliff erosion under scenarios

The risks to human populations in coastal areas are changing due to climate and socio-economic changes, and these trends are predicted to accelerate during the twenty-first century....

Last modified: Tue, 04 Dec 2012 09:03:16 GMT

Predicting rainfall statistics in England and Wales using atmospheric...

Regression models are developed to predict point rainfall statistics, with potential application to downscaling general circulation model (GCM) output for future climates. The models can be used...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:17:09 BST

Is there a link between agricultural land-use management and flooding?

Over the past fifty years, significant changes in UK land use and management practices have occurred, driven by UK and EU agricultural policies. There is substantial evidence that modern land-use management practices have enhanced ...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:17:14 BST

Prediction intervals for rainfall-runoff models: Raw error method and...

A method (the ghost method) is developed here that calculates prediction intervals for the discharge hydrograph for a river catchment. It uses a calibrated rainfall–runoff model and a dataset containing raw errors such as...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:17:21 BST

Runoff management during the September 2008 floods in the Belford catchment

On 5–6th September 2008, prolonged rainfall in the north east of England resulted in flooding in many towns. Belford lies within this region and has a history of flooding, but on this occasion, flooding was minimal. Numerous houses and...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:17:27 BST

Flow pathways in the Slapton Wood catchment using temperature as a tracer

This study investigates the potential of temperature as a tracer to provide insights into flow pathways. The approach couples fieldwork and modelling experiments for the Eastergrounds Hollow within the Slapton Wood catchment, ...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:17:34 BST

Sensitivity maps for impacts of land management on an extreme flood in...

It is increasingly recognised that the management of land and the management of water are strongly interdependent, and that integrated management approaches are needed. There is evidence that modern land management practices...

Last modified: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 14:17:39 BST

A methodology for national flood risk analysis

This paper presents a methodology for national scale flood risk assessment in England and Wales and won the Robert Alfred Carr prize from the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2004.

Last modified: Tue, 04 Dec 2012 09:16:53 GMT

Non-structural flood management in the Thames Estuary

This paper couples a land use transport model with a flood risk analysis to assess the effectiveness of non-structural flood management measures in the Thames Estuary under conditions of socio-economic and environmental change

Last modified: Wed, 05 Sep 2012 12:45:38 BST

Scenarios of future built environment using a GIS approach

This paper describes a GIS-based algorithm for developing scenarios of changes in the built environment under different socio-economic futures.

Last modified: Wed, 05 Sep 2012 12:51:08 BST

Collaborative platform to facilitate engineering decision-making

This paper presents the concept of a decision theatre and describes how this approach was tested with a range of stakeholders and to investigate the effectiveness of adaptation options to surface water flooding...

Last modified: Sun, 07 Apr 2013 16:45:16 BST