Newcastle University

Research Interests

for projects please go to:  http://research.ncl.ac.uk/bces-modelling/

Projects

• Financial incentives for improving uptake of health promoting behaviours
  Project Leader(s): Dr Jean Adams
• Survival and predictors of survival in children born with congenital heart defects.
  Project Leader(s): Professor Judith Rankin, Ms Kate Best

• Sharma A, Barron J, Le Couteur J, Grunze H, Kelly T, Ferrier I, Close A, Rushton S, Le Couteur A. Neurocognitive function in children of adults with bipolar disorder: a UK study. In: Bipolar Disorders: 9th International Conference on Bipolar Disorder. 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing, Inc.
• Jorgensen F, Ellis-Iversen FJ, Rushton S, Bull S, Harris SA, Bryan SJ, Gonzalez A, Humphrey TJ. Influence of Season and Geography on Campylobacter jejuni and C. coli Subtypes in Housed Broiler Flocks Reared in Great Britain. Applied and Environmental Microbiology 2011, 77(11), 3741-3748.
• Mill AC, Rushton SP, Murrary AWA, Rose M. PAH contamination in Shellfish: Modelling to estimate exposure. Ecotoxicology 2011, 21(2), 393-408.
• Dadvand P, Rankin J, Rushton S, Pless-Mulloli T. Ambient air pollution and congenital heart disease: A register-based study. Environmental Research 2011, 111(3), 435-441.
• Chambers MA, Rogers F, Delahay RJ, Lesellier S, Ashford R, Dalley D, Gowtage S, Dave D, Palmer S, Brewer J, Crawshaw T, Clifton-Hadley R, Carter S, Cheeseman C, Hanks C, Murray A, Palphramand K, Pietravalle S, Smith GC, Tomlinson A, Walker NJ, Wilson GJ, Corner LAL, Rushton SP, Shirley MDF, Gettinby G, McDonald RA, Hewinson RG. Bacillus Calmette-Guerin vaccination reduces the severity and progression of tuberculosis in badgers. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences 2011, 278(1713), 1913-1920.
• Mill AC, Rushton SP, Shirley MDF, Murray AWA, Smith GC, Delahay RJ, McDonald RA. Farm-scale risk factors for bovine tuberculosis incidence in cattle herds during the Randomised Badger Culling Trial. Epidemiology and Infection 2012, 140(2), 219-230.
• Rushton SP, Shirley MDF, Sheridan EA, Lanyon CV, O'Donnell AG. The transmission of nosocomial pathogens in an intensive care unit: a space-time clustering and structural equation modelling approach. Epidemiology and Infection 2010, 138(6), 915-926.
• Pearce MS, Glinianaia SV, Rankin J, Rushton S, Charlton M, Parker L, Pless-Mulloli T. No association between ambient particulate matter exposure during pregnancy and stillbirth risk in the north of England, 1962-1992. Environmental Research 2010, 110(1), 118-122.
• Bruemmer CM, Rushton SP, Gurnell J, Lurz PWW, Nettleton P, Sainsbury AW, Duff JP, Gilray J, McInnes CJ. Epidemiology of squirrelpox virus in grey squirrels in the UK. Epidemiology and Infection 2010, 138(7), 941-950.
• Jenkins SN, Rushton SP, Lanyon CV, Whiteley AS, Waite IS, Brookes PC, Kemmitt S, Evershed RP, O'Donnell AG. Taxon-specific responses of soil bacteria to the addition of low level C inputs. Soil Biology & Biochemistry 2010, 42(9), 1624-1631.
• Elmhagen B, Ludwig G, Rushton SP, Helle P, Linden H. Top predators, mesopredators and their prey: interference ecosystems along bioclimatic productivity gradients. Journal of Animal Ecology 2010, 79(4), 785-794.
• Dadvand P, Ruston S, Diggle PJ, Goffe L, Rankin J, Pless-Mulloli T. Using spatio-temporal modelling to predict long-term exposure to black smoke at fine spatial and temporal scale. Atmospheric Environment 2010, 45(3), 659-664.
• Rushton SP, Humphrey TJ, Shirley MDF, Bull S, Jorgensen F. Campylobacter in housed broiler chickens: a longitudinal study of risk factors. Epidemiology and Infection 2009, 137(8), 1099-1110.
• Atherton KM, Williams FM, Gonzalez FJE, Glass R, Rushton S, Blain PG, Mutch E. DNA damage in horticultural farmers: a pilot study showing an association with organophosphate pesticide exposure. Biomarkers 2009, 14(7), 443-451.
• Dadvand P, Rankin J, Shirley MDF, Rushton SP, Pless-Mulloli T. Descriptive epidemiology of congenital heart disease in Northern England. Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology 2009, 23(1), 58-65.
• MacNeil MA, Graham NAJ, Polunin NVC, Kulbicki M, Galzin R, Harmelin-Vivien M, Rushton SP. Hierarchical drivers of reef-fish metacommunity structure. Ecology 2009, 90(1), 252-264.
• Wilkinson D, Bennett R, McFarlane I, Rushton S, Shirley M, Smith G. Cost-benefit analysis model of badger (Meles meles) culling to reduce herd tuberculosis breakdowns in Britain, with particular reference to badger perturbation. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 2009, 45(4), 1062–1088.
• Fanshawe TR, Diggle PJ, Rushton SP, Sanderson RA, Lurz PWW, Glinianaia SV, Pearce MS, Parker L, Charlton M, Pless-Mulloli T. Modelling spatio-temporal variation in exposure to particulate matter: a two-stage approach. Environmetrics 2008, 19(6), 549-566.
• McNally RJQ, Rankin J, Shirley MDF, Rushton SP, Pless-Mulloli T. Space-time analysis of Down syndrome: Results consistent with transient pre-disposing contagious agent. International Journal of Epidemiology 2008, 37(5), 1169-1179.
• Bertolino S, Lurz P, Sanderson RA, Rushton SP. Predicting the spread of the American grey squirrel (Sciurus carolinensis) in Europe: A call for a co-ordinated European approach. Biological Conservation 2008, 141(10), 2564-2575.
• Wilson SK, Fisher R, Pratchett MS, Graham NAJ, Dulvy NK, Turner RA, Cakacaka A, Polunin NVC, Rushton SP. Exploitation and habitat degradation as agents of change within coral reef fish communities. Global Change Biology 2008, 14(12), 2796-2809.
• Lanyon CV, Rushton SP, O'Donnell AG, Goodfellow M, Ward AC, Petrie M, Jensen SP, Gosling LM, Penn DJ. Murine scent mark microbial communities are genetically determined. FEMS Microbiology Ecology 2007, 59(3), 576-583.
• Rushton SP, Goodfellow M, O'Donnell AG, Magee JG. The epidemiology of atypical mycobacterial diseases in northern England: A space-time clustering and Generalized Linear Modelling approach. Epidemiology and Infection 2007, 135(5), 765-774.
• Elmhagen B, Rushton SP. Trophic control of mesopredators in terrestrial ecosystems: Top-down or bottom-up?. Ecology Letters 2007, 10(3), 197-206.
• O'Donnell AG, Young IM, Rushton SP, Shirley MD, Crawford JW. Visualization, modelling and prediction in soil microbiology. Nature Reviews Microbiology 2007, 5(9), 689-699.
• Mathews F, Lovett L, Rushton S, Macdonald DW. Bovine tuberculosis in cattle: Reduced risk on wildlife-friendly farms. Biology Letters 2006, 2(2), 271-274.
• Rushton SP, Lurz PWW, Gurnell J, Nettleton P, Bruemmer CM, Shirley MDF, Sainsbury A. Disease threats posed by alien species: The role of a poxvirus in the decline of the native red squirrel in Britain. Epidemiology and Infection 2006, 134(3), 521-533.
• Shirley MDF, Rushton SP. The impacts of network topology on disease spread. Ecological Complexity 2005, 2(3), 287-299.
• Shirley MDF, Rushton SP. Where diseases and networks collide, Lessons form the Foot and Mouth Disease in UK 2001. Epidemiology and Infection 2005, 133(6), 1023-1032.
• Malviya A, Ferris CM, Rushton SP, Foster HE, Hanson H, Muthumayandi K, Deehan DJ. Exploring the relationships between adult juvenile idiopathic arthritis and employment. In: Annual Meeting of the British Society for Rheumatology. 2012, Glasgow, UK: Oxford University Press.
• Malviya A, Rushton SP, Foster HE, Ferris CM, Hanson H, Muthumayandi K, Deehan DJ. The relationships between adult juvenile idiopathic arthritis and employment. Arthritis and Rheumatism 2012, 64(9), 3016-3024.
• Iordan F, Rushton SP, Macdonald DW, Bonesi L. Predicting the spread of feral populations of the American mink in Italy: is it too late for eradication?. Biological Invasions 2012, 14(9), 1895-1908.
• Ghosh M, Blain A, Longstaff l, Rushton S, Deehan D. The effect of total knee replacement on the envelope of laxity of the knee. In: 15th European Society of Sports Traumatology, Knee Surgery and Arthroscopy Congress. 2012, Geneva.
• Cloke D, Moore O, Shab T, Rushton S, Shirley MDF, Deehan DJ. Thigh Muscle Injuries in Youth Soccer Predictors of Recovery. American Journal of Sports Medicine 2012, 40(2), 433-439.
• Thomas MF, Sheppard CL, Guiver M, George RC, Simmister C, Cliff D, Gorton R, Elemraid MA, Clark JE, Rushton SP, Paton JY, Spencer DA. CHANGES IN PNEUMOCOCCAL SEROTYPE DISTRIBUTION OF PAEDIATRIC EMPYEMA IN THE AGE OF PNEUMOCOCCAL CONJUGATE VACCINES. In: British Thoracic Society Winter Meeting 2011. 2011, Westminster, London: BMJ Group.
• Thomas MF, Simmister C, Cliff D, Elemraid MA, Clark JE, Rushton SP, Gorton R, Paton JY, Spencer DA. Comparison of primary pleural drainage strategies in paediatric empyema. In: Thorax: Winter Meeting of the British Thoracic Society. 2011, Westminster: BMJ Group.
• Vale L, Adamson A, Critchley J, Rushton S, Kelly S, Shen J, Shirley M, Mason H, Donaldson C, Armstrong N. Economic evaluation: evaluating the short-term impacts of the school food policy and experimental modelling of longer term impacts. London: Newcastle University and the University of Stirling as part of the Public Health Research Consortium, 2011. B5-07A.
• Spencer DA, Thomas MF, Sheppard CL, Guiver M, George RC, Gorton R, Paton JY, Simmister C, Cliff D, Elemraid MA, Clark JE, Rushton SP. Emergence of pneumococcal serotype 19A as a cause of severe complicated pneumonia with empyema in children in England. In: Thorax: Winter Meeting of the British Thoracic Society. 2011, Westminster: BMJ Group.
• Thomas MF, Blain AP, Shirley MDF, Simmister C, Elemraid MA, Gorton R, Pearce MS, Clark JE, Rushton SP, Spencer DA. Geographical variation in the risk of childhood pneumonia and relationships to socio-economic and health deprivation. In: European Respiratory Society Annual Congress. 2011, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
• Elemraid MA, Eastham KM, Rushton SP, Shirley MDF, Spencer DA, Thomas MF, Hampton F, Gorton R, Pollard K, Gennery AR, Clark JE. Impact of heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on the incidence of childhood pneumonia seen in hospital in the North East of England. In: Thorax: Winter Meeting of the British Thoracic Society. 2011, Westminster: BMJ Group.
• McNally R, Gomez-Pozo B, Blakey K, James P, Pearce M, Craft A, Rushton S. Socioeconomic diversity and the incidence of childhood leukaemia in Northern England. In: Pediatric Blood & Cancer: 43rd Congress of the International Society of Paediatric Oncology (SIOP). 2011, Auckland, New Zealand: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
• Elemraid MA, Pollard K, Thomas MF, Gennery AR, Eastham KM, Rushton SP, Hampton F, Singleton P, Gorton R, Spencer DA, Clark JE, NE England Paediatric Resp Infect. Validity of using Hospital Episode Statistics data on monitoring disease trends. Thorax 2011, 66(9), 827.
• Blain AP, Firbank LG, Smart S, Rushton S. Modelling vegetation change in the British countryside. In: 7th IALE World Congress. 2007, Wageningen, The Netherlands: IALE.
• Herborg L-M, Bentley MG, Clare AS, Rushton SP. The spread of the Chinese mitten crab (Eriocheir sinensis) in Europe; the predictive value of an historical data set. Hydrobiologia 2003, 503(1-3), 21-28.
• Macdonald DW, Tattersall FH, Johnson PJ, Carbone C, Reynolds JC, Langbein J, Rushton SP, Shirley MDF. Management and control of populations of foxes, deer, hares and mink in England and Wales, and the impact of hunting with dogs. London: Committee of Inquiry into Hunting with Dogs, Her Majesty's Government, 2000.
• Harris JM, Rushton S. Binocular motion signals: combined but not perceived. In: Perception. 1999, Pion Ltd.
• Close A, Robertson C, Rushton S, Shirley M, Vale L, Ramsay C, Pickard R. Comparative cost-effectiveness of Robot-assisted and standard Laparoscopic Prostatectomy as Alternatives to Open Radical Prostatectomy for Treatment of Men with Localised Prostate Cancer: A Health Technology Assessment from the Perspective of the UK National Health Service. European Urology 2013, (epub ahead of print).
• Slater MJ, Mgaya YD, Mill AC, Rushton SP, Stead SM. Effect of social and economic drivers on choosing aquaculture as a coastal livelihood. Ocean and Coastal Management 2013, 73, 22-30.
• Khan SK, Rushton SP, Courtney M, Gray AC, Deehan DJ. Elderly men with renal dysfunction are most at risk for poor outcome after neck of femur fractures. Age and Ageing 2013, 42(1), 76-81.
• Khan SK, Rushton SP, Dosani A, Gray AC, Deehan DJ. Factors Influencing Length of Stay and Mortality After First and Second Hip Fractures: An Event Modeling Analysis. Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2013, 27(2), 82-86.
• Baron AW, Rushton SP, Rens N, Morris CM, Blain PG, Judge SJ. Sex differences in effects of low level domoic acid exposure. NeuroToxicology 2013, 34, 1-8.
• Blain AP, Thomas MF, Shirley MDF, Simmister C, Elemraid MA, Gorton R, Pearce MS, Clark JE, Rushton SP, Spencer DA. Spatial variation in the risk of hospitalization with childhood pneumonia and empyema in the North of England. Epidemiology and Infection 2013, (epub ahead of print).
• Carter SP, Chambers MA, Rushton SP, Shirley MDF, Schuchert P, Pietravalle S, Murray A, Rogers F, Gettinby G, Smith GC, Delahay RJ, Hewinson RG, McDonald RA. BCG Vaccination Reduces Risk of Tuberculosis Infection in Vaccinated Badgers and Unvaccinated Badger Cubs. PLoS One 2012, 7(12), e49833.
• Sofianopoulou E, Rushton S, Rubin G, Pless-Mulloli T. Defining GP practice areas based on true service utilisation. Health & Place 2012, 18(6), 1248-1254.
• Thomas MF, Sheppard CL, Guiver M, Slack MPE, George RC, Gorton R, Paton JY, Simmister C, Cliff D, Elemraid MA, Clark JE, Rushton SP, Spencer DA. Emergence of pneumococcal 19A empyema in UK children. Archives of Disease in Childhood 2012, 97(12), 1070-1072.
• Dennis PG, Rushton SP, Newsham KK, Laudicina VA, Ord VJ, Daniell TJ, O'Donnell AG, Hopkins DW. Soil fungal community composition does not alter along a latitudinal gradient through the maritime and sub-Antarctic (vol 5, pg 403, 2012). Fungal Ecology 2012, 5(6), 759-759.
• Ramsay C, Pickard R, Robertson C, Close A, Vale L, Armstrong N, Barocas DA, Eden CG, Fraser C, Gurung T, Jenkinson D, Jia X, Lam TB, Mowatt G, Nea DE, Robinson MC, Royle J, Rushton SP, Sharma P, Shirley MDF, Soomro N. Systematic review and economic modelling of the relative clinical benefit and cost-effectiveness of laparoscopic surgery and robotic surgery for removal of the prostate in men with localised prostate cancer. Health Technology Assessment 2012, 16(41), xiv, 313.
• Sinha A, Thomas MF, Rushton SP, Cheetham T. The impact of continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion on glycaemic control in children and adolescents: a regional review in North East England using a bio-modelling approach. Diabetic Medicine 2012, 29(10), 1342-1343.