School of Architecture, Planning & Landscape

Planning Heating Electrification

Carlos Calderon

An area-based modelling approach for planning heating electrification

This is part of my long standing research theme on energy transition for Newcastle’s domestic stock. This theme started in 2008.

This paper presents an area-based modelling approach to heat electrification using 17,741 dwellings in the city of Newcastle upon Tyne as a case study. The presented framework has been developed so as to address local energy policy questions on the impact of electrical heating options for the domestic stock. These questions reflect current issues and under-researched research challenges such as the quantification of peak electricity demand for heat pumps based electrification options.

The paper’s finding are significant (see impact below) and the highlights are:
• Electrification of heat at city-scale will have a substantial impact on the local electrical grid.
• Peak (winter) household electricity demand ranges from 59-95% on peak LV sub-station demand.
• These ranges are significantly lower than those identified in the existing literature.
• Modelling of local knowledge, and, HP performance metrics and HP demand has a significant impact.
• A modelling approach to cope with forthcoming system design challenges at LV scale is suggested.

Collaborative partners

Local stakeholders: Newcastle City Council.
External stakeholders: Energy Technologies Institute, Catapult Energy Systems
Other departments: the School of (Electrical) Engineering at Newcastle University