Centre for Urban and Regional Development Studies

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Emeritus Professor Tony Champion publishes new article discussing issues around England's official population projections.

An article produced by CURDS Emeritus Professor of Population Geography has been submitted as evidence to the Office for Statistics Regulation's review of the Office for National Statistic's population projections and estimates.

Prompted by the recent user engagement undertaken by the Office for National Statistics, Emeritus Professor Tony Champion's article Making Population Projections–A Question of Timing? in the January/February 2021 issue of the magazine Town & Country Planning discusses the issues surrounding the timing of England's official population projections and assessing the validity of their current (2018-based) set which used only the latest two years of data instead of the usual five years for their migration assumptions. Drawing on data from the Office for National Statistics and Greater London Authority, the article demonstrates the big difference that the length of base period makes to the projected population sizes of London and other parts of the country. The article has subseqently been submitted as evidence to the Office for Statistics Regulation's review of the Office for National Statistic's population projections and estimates.

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