Project title

Uncertainty quantification analysis and visualisation

Principal Investigator:

Professor Goldstein, Durham University

Project Team:

• Dr Dent, University of Edinburgh
• Dr Du, Durham University
• Dr Domingo, Durham University

Project Summary

This project will develop a conceptual plan or guidebook for consideration of uncertainty in the next phase of CESI modelling. This will involve both developing uncertainty representations for individual models, based on model emulation and structural discrepancy assessment, and developing methodology for combining uncertainty representations across models to support the wider CESI aim of system integration. These representations will be applied to provide examples of practical decision support on exemplars to be developed in co-ordination with the other flex fund projects.