MAS3903 : Linear Models
- Offered for Year: 2019/20
- Module Leader(s): Dr Peter Avery
- Owning School: Mathematics, Statistics and Physics
- Teaching Location: Newcastle City Campus
|Semester 1 Credit Value:||10|
To achieve an understanding of linear models, and how regression, Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA) models arise as special cases. To understand the problem of identifiability in ANOVA, and the role played by parameter constraints and dummy variables in solving it.
This module is concerned with building and applying statistical models for data. How does a mixture of quantitative and qualitative variables affect the body mass index of an individual? Suppose we find an association between age and body mass index, how can we study if this association varies between men and women, or between those with different educational backgrounds? In this course we consider the issues involved when we wish to construct realistic and useful statistical models for problems which can arise in a range of fields: medicine, finance, social research and environmental issues being some of the main areas.
We revise multiple linear regression models, and see how they are special cases of a General Linear Model. We move on to consider Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) as another special case of a general linear model – this is the problem of investigating contrasts between different levels of a factor in affecting a response and then we generalize to the case of several factors. We consider Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA) which involves mixing linear regression and factor effects, and the idea of interaction between explanatory variables in the way they affect a response. The module provides a comprehensive introduction to the issues involved in using statistics to model real data, and to draw relevant conclusions. There is an emphasis on hands-on application of the theory and methods throughout, with extensive use of R.
Outline Of Syllabus
The general linear model: maximum likelihood in the multi-parameter case; estimation of parameters; prediction; model adequacy; regression, ANOVA and ANCOVA as special cases. Model choice. Analysis of designs with 1, 2 or 3 factors. Model identifiability, parameter constraints and dummy variables. Use of transformations. Various extended examples of statistical modelling using R.
|Guided Independent Study||Assessment preparation and completion||1||13:00||13:00||Revision for unseen exam|
|Guided Independent Study||Assessment preparation and completion||1||2:00||2:00||Unseen exam|
|Scheduled Learning And Teaching Activities||Lecture||3||1:00||3:00||Problem classes|
|Scheduled Learning And Teaching Activities||Lecture||2||1:00||2:00||Revision lectures|
|Scheduled Learning And Teaching Activities||Lecture||25||1:00||25:00||Formal lectures|
|Scheduled Learning And Teaching Activities||Drop-in/surgery||12||0:10||2:00||Office hours|
|Guided Independent Study||Independent study||1||12:00||12:00||Preparation for group project|
|Guided Independent Study||Independent study||2||6:00||12:00||Preparation for problem-solving exercises|
|Guided Independent Study||Independent study||1||20:00||20:00||Studying, practising and gaining understanding of course material|
|Guided Independent Study||Independent study||3||3:00||9:00||Review of problem-solving exercises and group project|
Teaching Rationale And Relationship
Lectures are used for the delivery of theory and explanation of methods, illustrated with examples, and for giving general feedback on marked work. Problem Classes are used to help develop the students’ abilities at applying the theory to solving problems. Tutorials are used to identify and resolve specific queries raised by students and to allow students to receive individual feedback on marked work. In addition, office hours (two per week) will provide an opportunity for more direct contact between individual students and the lecturer: a typical student might spend a total of one or two hours over the course of the module, either individually or as part of a group.
The format of resits will be determined by the Board of Examiners
|Prob solv exercises||1||M||5||Problem solving exercises|
|Prob solv exercises||1||M||10||Group project|
Assessment Rationale And Relationship
A substantial formal unseen examination is appropriate for the assessment of the material in this module. The problem solving exercises are expected to consist of two exercises of equal weight: the exact nature of assessment will be explained at the start of the module. The exercises and the group project allow the students to develop their problem solving techniques, to practise the methods learnt in the module, to assess their progress and to receive feedback; these assessments have a secondary formative purpose as well as their primary summative purpose.