Staff Profile

I am a Research Associate within the School of Engineering at Newcastle University, although I am based in the Met Office Hadley Centre in Exeter within the high-resolution climate modelling research group. I gained my PhD in climate science at the University of Birmingham in 2019 working on compound dry and hot extreme events. My current research focusses on winter storms in western Europe, assessing reasons for their projected changes in climate simulations, and assessing the potential implications of these changes for electricity distribution networks.

I have worked on a number of projects in recent years:

Future Storms (2019-2022): Assessing future projections of windstorms and sting jets in high-resolution convection permitting climate models, and demonstrating the added value of these simulations for wind extremes.

Stormy Weather(2022-present): Assessing combined wind-rain extremes and their drivers within extra-tropical cyclones in current and projected future climates.

Accelerated (2022): Quantifying current and projected future risk of extreme weather (e.g. windstorms, flood, cold snaps, heat waves) to electricity distribution networks.

Climate-Services NOW (2022-present): Understanding the needs of electricity distribution network operators in order to improve climate resilience and provide useful climate information on projected changes to extreme weather and potential risk to distribution networks.

• Articles

  • Brett L, Bloomfield HC, Bradley A, Calvet T, Champion A, De Angeli S, de Ruiter MC, Guerreiro SB, Hillier J, Jaroszweski D, Kamranzad B, Keinänen-Toivola MM, Kornhuber K, Küpfer K, Manning C, Mattu K, Murtagh E, Murray V, Bhreasail AN, O'Loughlin F, Parker C, Pregnolato M, Ramos AM, Schlumberger J, Theochari D, Ward P, Wessels A, White CJ. Science–policy–practice insights for compound and multi-hazard risks. Meteorological Applications 2025, 32(2), e70043.
  • Hillier JK, Bloomfield HC, Manning C, Garry F, Shaffrey L, Bates P, Kumar D. Increasingly Seasonal Jet Stream Raises Risk of Co-Occurring Flooding and Extreme Wind in Great Britain. International Journal of Climatology 2025, (ePub ahead of Print), e8763.
  • Manning C, Wilkinson S, Fowler HJ, Kendon EJ. Antecedent rainfall, wind direction and seasonal effects may amplify the risk of wind-driven power outages in the UK. Communications Earth and Environment 2025, 6, 217.
  • Manning C, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ, Catto JL, Chan SC, Sansom PG. Compound wind and rainfall extremes: Drivers and future changes over the UK and Ireland. Weather and Climate Extremes 2024, 44, 100673.
  • Manning C, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ, Roberts N. Projected increase in windstorm severity and contribution from sting jets over the UK and Ireland. Weather and Climate Extremes 2023, 40, 100562.
  • Manning C, Widmann M, Maraun D, Van Loon AF, Bevacqua E. Large spread in the representation of compound long-duration dry and hot spells over Europe in CMIP5. Weather and Climate Dynamics 2023, 4(2), 309–329.
  • Manning C, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ, Roberts NM, Berthou S, Suri D, Roberts M. Extreme windstorms and sting jets in convection-permitting climate simulations over Europe. Climate Dynamics 2022, 58, 2387-2404.
  • Berthou S, Roberts MJ, Vanniere B, Ban N, Belusic D, Caillaud C, Crocker T, de Vries H, Dobler A, Harris D, Kendon EJ, Landgren O, Manning C. Convection in future winter storms over Northern Europe. Environmental Research Letters 2022, 17, 114055.
  • Bevacqua E, De Michele C, Manning C, Couasnon A, Ribeiro AFS, Ramos AM, Vignotto E, Bastos A, Blesic S, Durante F, Hillier J, Oliveira SC, Pinto JG, Ragno E, Rivoire P, Saunders K, Van Der Wiel K, Wu W, Zhang T, Zscheischler J. Guidelines for studying diverse types of compound weather and climate events. Earth's Future 2021, 9(11), e2021EF002340.
  • Manning C, Widmann M, Bevacqua E, Van Loon AF, Maraun D, Vrac M. Increased probability of compound long-duration dry and hot events in Europe during summer (1950–2013). Environmental Research Letters 2019, 14, 094006.
  • Manning C, Widmann M, Bevacqua E, Van Loon AF, Maraun D, Vrac M. Soil Moisture Drought in Europe: A Compound Event of Precipitation and Potential Evapotranspiration on Multiple Time Scales. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2018, 19, 1255–1271.

• Book Chapter

  • Catto J, Brown S, Barnes C, Chan S, Cotterill D, Dale M, Dawkins L, Fowler H, Garry F, Keat W, Kendon E, Lowe J, Manning C, Pritchard D, Robins P, Sexton D, Shooter R, Stephenson D. Improved Understanding and Characterisation of Climate Hazards in the UK. In: Dessai, S; Lonsdale, K; Lowe, J; Harcourt, R, ed. Quantifying Climate Risk and Building Resilience in the UK. 2024. In Preparation.

• Online Publications

  • Manning C, Fowler HJ. Storm Ciarán is breaking records - and research suggests more severe weather in future. 2023. Available at: https://theconversation.com/storm-ciaran-is-breaking-records-and-research-suggests-more-severe-weather-in-future-216842. In Preparation.
  • Fowler HJ, Manning C. Why Storm Eunice was so severe - and will violent wind storms become more common?. London: The Conversation Trust (UK) Limited, 2022. Available at: https://theconversation.com/why-storm-eunice-was-so-severe-and-will-violent-wind-storms-become-more-common-177468.