Staff Profile

I am a Visiting Lecturer in Statistics in the School of Mathematics, Statistics & Physics at Newcastle University. My areas of expertise are Bayesian inference, time series and forecasting and decision analysis.

Academic background

I gained my BSc (1976) and PhD (1979) from Newcastle University, both in Statistics. I then taught at a number of other institutions until 2005 when I returned to Newcastle. I retired in 2019 and I am now a Visiting Lecturer.

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• Articles

  • Heaps SE, Farrow M, Wilson KJ. Identifying the effect of public holidays on daily demand for gas. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A 2019, 183(2), 471-492.
  • Ali F, Dissanayake D, Bell MC, Farrow M. Investigating Car Users’ Attitudes to Climate Change Using Multiple Correspondence Analysis. Journal of Transport Geography 2018, 72, 237-247.
  • Wilson KJ, Farrow M. Bayes linear kinematics in a dynamic survival model. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning 2017, 80, 239-256.
  • Heaps SE, Boys RJ, Farrow M. Bayesian modelling of rainfall data by using non-homogeneous hidden Markov models and latent Gaussian variables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 2015, 64(3), 543-568.
  • Heaps SE, Boys RJ, Farrow M. Computation of marginal likelihoods with data-dependent support for latent variables. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 2014, 71, 392-401.
  • Ansari K, Keaney N, Taylor I, Burns G, Farrow M. Muscle weakness, health status and frequency of exacerbations in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Postgraduate Medical Journal 2012, 88, 372-376.
  • Farrow M, Goldstein M. Sensitivity of decisions with imprecise utility trade-off parameters using boundary linear utility. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning 2010, 51(9), 1100-1113.
  • Wilson KJ, Farrow M. Bayes linear kinematics in the analysis of failure rates and failure time distributions. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability 2010, 224(4), 309-321.
  • Ansari K, Shamssain M, Farrow M, Keaney NP. Hospital-at-Home care for exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: an observational cohort study of patients managed in hospital or by nurse practitioners in the community. Chronic Respiratory Disease 2009, 6(2), 69-74.
  • Farrow M, Goldstein M. Almost-Pareto Decision Sets in Imprecise Utility Hierarchies. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice 2009, 3(1), 137-155.
  • Moses J, Farrow M. Tests for consistent measurement of external subjective software quality attributes. Empirical Software Engineering 2008, 13(3), 261-287.
  • Oakes MP, Farrow M. Use of the chi-squared test to examine vocabulary differences in English language corpora representing seven different countries. Literary and Linguistic Computing 2007, 22(1), 85-99.
  • Ansari K, Shamssain M, Keaney NP, Burns G, Farrow M. Predictors of quality of life in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients with different frequency of exacerbations. Pakistan Journal of Medical Sciences 2007, 23(4), 490-496.
  • Cowburn GJ, Farrow M. Mixtures and diagnostic plots in modelling road traffic vehicle headways. Statistical Modelling 2007, 7(1), 73-89.
  • Whiteley P, Waring R, Williams L, Klovrza L, Nolan F, Smith S, Farrow M, Dodou K, Lough WJ, Shattock P. Spot urinary creatinine excretion in pervasive developmental disorders. Pediatrics International 2006, 48(3), 292-297.
  • Wolski WE, Farrow M, Emde A-K, Lehrach H, Lalowski M, Reinert K. Analytical model of peptide mass cluster centres with applications. Proteome Science 2006, 4(1), 18.
  • Moses J, Farrow M, Parrington N, Smith P. A productivity benchmarking case study using Bayesian credible intervals. Software Quality Journal 2006, 14(1), 37-52.
  • Farrow M, Goldstein M. Trade-off sensitive experimental design: a multicriterion, decision theoretic, Bayes linear approach. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 2005, 136(2), 498-526.
  • Moses J, Farrow M. Assessing Variation in Development Effort Consistency Using a Data Source with Missing Data. Software Quality Journal 2005, 13(1), 71-89.
  • Mandal K, Hildreth AJ, Farrow M, Allen D. Investigation into post operative endophthalmitis and lessons learned. Journal of Cataract and Refractive Surgery 2004, 30(9), 1960-1965.
  • Harrison MC, Attenborough KA, Stirling D, Farrow M, Steele C. Eighteen months at the HELM. MSOR Connections 2004, 4(2), 31-34.
  • Farrow M. Practical building of subjective covariance structures for large complicated systems. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series D: The Statistician 2003, 52(4), 553-573.
  • Moses J, Farrow M. A procedure for assessing the influence of problem domain on effort estimation consistency. Software Quality Journal 2003, 11(4), 283-300.
  • Moses J, Farrow M, Smith P. Statistical Methods for Predicting and Improving Cohesion Using Information Flow: An Empirical Study. Software Quality Journal 2002, 10(1), 11-46.
  • Blackburn J, Farrow M, Arthur W. Factors influencing the distribution, abundance and diversity of geophilomorph and lithobiomorph centipedes. Journal of Zoology 2002, 256(2), 221-232.
  • Kendell K, Saxby B, Farrow M, Naisby C. Psychological factors associated with short-term recovery from total knee replacement. British Journal of Health Psychology 2001, 6(1), 41-52.

• Book Chapters

  • Wilson KJ, Farrow M. Combining judgements from correlated experts. In: Luis C. Dias, Alec Morton, John Quigley, ed. Elicitation: the Science and Art of Structuring Judgement. New York: Springer, 2018, pp.211-240.
  • Wilson KJ, Farrow M. Combining judgements from correlated experts. In: Luis C. Dias, Alec Morton, John Quigley, ed. Elicitation. New York: Springer, 2018, pp.211-240.
  • Farrow M. Optimal Experiment Design, Bayesian. In: Dubitzky, W., Wolkenhauer, O., Cho, K.H., Yokota, H, ed. Encyclopedia of Systems Biology. New York: Springer, 2013, pp.1573-1576.
  • Farrow M, Goldstein M. Almost Pareto decision sets in imprecise utility hierarchies. In: P Coolen-Schrijner; F Coolen; M Troffaes; T Augustin; S Gupta, ed. Imprecision in Statistical Theory and Practice. Greensboro, USA: Grace Scientific Publishing, 2009, pp.153-171.

• Conference Proceedings (inc. Abstracts)

  • Wilson KJ, Heaps SE, Farrow M. Demand forecasting over complex geographical networks: the case of Northern Gas Networks. In: Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice: Proceedings of ESREL 2016. 2016, Glasgow: CRC Press.
  • Farrow M. Sample size determination with imprecise risk aversion. In: ISIPTA'13: Proceedings of the Eighth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications. 2013, Compiegne, France: Society for Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications.
  • Seddon YM, Farrow M, Guy JH, Edwards SA. Real time monitoring of finisher pig water consumption: Investigation at pen level. In: XVth International Society for Animal Hygiene Congress. 2011, Vienna, Austria.
  • Boys RJ, Farrow M, Germain SE. Discussion of ''Modelling multivariate counts varying continuously in space'' by A. M. Schmidt and M. A. Rodriguez. In: Bayesian Statistics 9: Proceedings of the Ninth Valencia International Conference on Bayesian Statistics. 2011, University of Valencia, Spain: Oxford University Press.
  • Farrow M, Goldstein M. Boundary linear utility and sensitivity of decisions with imprecise utility trade-off parameters. In: Sixth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications. 2009, Durham, UK: Society for Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications.
  • Sieniawski M, Farrow M, Zhao X, Wilkinson J, Mainou-Fowler T, White J, MacIntyre J, Proctor SJ. A Novel Bayesian Prognostic Index for Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: A New Powerful Tool for Prediction Of Outcome. In: Blood: 51st Annual Meeting of the American Society of Hematology. 2009, New Orleans, LA: American Society of Hematology.
  • Moses J, Farrow M. A consideration of the variation in development effort consistency due to function points. In: 1st Software Measurement European Forum. 2004, Pharma Press Ltd: Istituto di Ricerca Internazionale, Rome.
  • Fletcher EJ, Rast H, Farrow M, Ferri R. CHAMAN : An open system architecture to bring the benefits of supply chain logistics to small companies. In: 16th International Conference on Production Research ICPR-16, Prague 29th July - 3rd August 2001. 2001.