“Modelling the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the UK”

Modelling the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the UK

Colloquium by Prof. Mike Tildesley (Warwick) 

Wed 16 Nov 2022: Colloquium 16.00 @ HERB.G LT2; Drinks & Snacks 17.00 @ Herschel Foyer  

 

Abstract: Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Modelling Group, a subgroup of SAGE, worked extensively on the development of models to predict the future spread of disease and to provide advice regarding the effectiveness of intervention policies. In this presentation, I will give an overview of the models that were developed during the COVID-19 pandemic and how they informed government decision making. I will present outputs from the models developed by the University of Warwick with a particular focus upon the impact of lockdown policies, optimal strategies for vaccine roll out, as well as spread in schools and universities. I will also present findings of research that aims to develop optimal intervention policies that seeks to minimise overall harms with a view to establishing long term sustainable intervention policies in the event of future pandemics.