Staff Profile

Chris Kilsby is Professor of Hydrology and Climate Change in the School of Engineering. 

Background

Chris joined the School in 1991 from the UK Met Office and has since carried out research and teaching on many aspects of engineering in the water sector ranging including hydrological risk (drought and flood risk) as well as national infrastructure. His work is now predominantly in the context of climate change impacts, sustainability and adaptation responses for the future including Blue Green infrastructure in cities.

Roles and Responsibilities

He was Director of Civil and Geospatial Engineering until 2023 and is Senior Academic for Newcastle's membership of the Willis Research Network. 

Qualifications

BSc Hons (Physics) 1983             

Chartered Meteorologist (CMet.) 1997

Memberships

Fellow of Royal Meteorological Society, 1984-

Member of British Hydrological Society (affiliated to Institution of Civil Engineers) 1997-

Industrial experience

30 years of consultancy experience covering climate change impact assessments, urban drainage studies, water resource modelling for inter alia:  UKWIR (UK Water Industry Research), Northumbrian Water Ltd., Royal Haskoning, Atkins, WRc., Southern Water Services, REECE Foundation, Wills Towers Watson, Gallagher Re.

He led the development and operation of the Weather Generator component of the national climate scenarios, UKCP09, for DEFRA.

Previous employment with research division of British Steel Corporation (1980-1983), UK Met Office (1983-1991).  

Google Scholar: Click here. 

Also ORCID 0000-0003-3422-294X, SCOPUS and Research Gate. 

Chris began his research career at the Met Research Flight of the UK Met Office carrying out research into radiation transfer in the atmosphere for use in climate change modelling. He moved to Newcastle University where he started work as a Research Associate on Mediterranean climate change and hydrology and large scale hydrological modelling. Since then he has researched many aspects of the water sector, particularly focussed on extremes and climate change impacts and adaptation, ranging from drought to flood risk.

The scope of the work has been from small catchments up to continental scale and has covered many parts of the world. An increasing emphasis in recent years has been on the hydrology and drainage of cities, increasingly in the context of climate change impacts and adaptation responses.

A major theme has been the use of simulation models for both generating rainfall scenarios as well as simulating hydrologic and hydraulic responses of natural and man-made infrastructure systems. Much of this work has used stochastic approaches for rainfall and climate scenario modelling. His recent work includes leading the Weather Generator component of the UKCP09 national climate scenarios. He is Senior Academic for Newcastle's involvement with the Willis Research Network : Willis are a leading international insurance broker and the research is directed at improving understanding and simulation of flood risk worldwide.

Principal or co-investigator of the following projects:

OpenClim : Open Climate Impacts Modelling Framework NE/T013931/1 2020-2023

Water Infrastructure and Resilience (WIRe) EPSRC CDT 2019- EP/S023666/1

Flood-PREPARED: Predicting Rainfall Events by Physical Analytics of REaltime Data NERC 2017-2021

MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics EPSRC 2016-2020

Urban Flood Resilience in an Uncertain Future EPSRC 2016-2019 EP/P004334/1

The creation of localized current and future weather for the built environment EPSRC 2015-2018 

Previous

Flood MEMORY -  Multi-Event Modelling Of Risk & recoverY EPSRC 2013-2016

Blue Green Cities - Delivering and evaluating multiple flood risk benefits EPSRC 2013-2016

RESNET - Resilient Electricity Networks for Great Britain EPSRC 2011-2014

ITRC: Infrastructure Transition Research programme: EPSRC, 2011-2016

Senior Academic Willis Research Network project on extreme rainfall 2011- date

ARCADIA: Adaptation and Resilience in Cities: Analysis and Decision making using Integrated Assessment  EPSRC 2009-2012

Platform Grant “Earth Systems Engineering” EPSRC 2008-2013

UKCP09  Weather Generator DEFRA   2007-11 (PI)

Current Postgraduate Research Students

Ali Leonard, Christos Iliadis, Sven Berendson, Asid Ur Rehman

Previous Postgraduate Research Students

2022 Amy Green “Improving radar rainfall estimates for flood risk using Monte Carlo ensemble simulation”

2019 Fergus McClean “Broad‐scale flood modelling in the cloud: validation and sensitivities from hazard to impact”

2019 Robert Bertsch “Exploring new technologies for simulation and analysis of urban floods”

2019 Miles Clement “Flood Extent and Volume Estimation using Multi-Temporal Synthetic Aperture Radar”.

2019 Doug Richardson “The predictability of UK drought using European weather patterns”

2019 Aidan Robson “Microbial Source Tracking for the UK Water Industry”, 

2019 Francesco Castellani : Fraction of Attributable Risk in an Interdependent Network facing Cascading Failures

2019 Michael Pollock “Quantifying and mitigating wind-induced undercatch in rainfall measurements” 

2017 Alex Leathard: A Water Grid for the UK, (First supervisor)

2017 Golnaz Jahanshahi “Uncertainties in the long term management of water resource”

2016 Elizabeth Lewis: Developing UK wide hydrological models for climate change impacts and analysis of floods and droughts”

2014 Selma Guerreiro: Climate change and water resources in Iberia

2014 Hongbin Zhang: Urban Flood Simulation by Coupling Hydrological and Hydraulic Models

2013 Nathan Forsythe: Investigating the impact of climate change on hydro-climatological variability and water resources in the Upper Indus Basin

2013 Linda Speight: A methodology for systems based flood risk analysis in the UK with particular reference to insurance risk exposure 

2012 Mari Jones: Characterising and modelling time-varying rainfall extremes and their climatic drivers

2011 Jamie Ledingham: The estimation of flood frequency curves by mapping from rainfall frequency curve

2011 Andrew Collier: Extreme value analysis of non-stationary processes : a study of extreme rainfall under changing climate

2010 Ian Coleman: Detection and Characterisation of Groundwater Discharge in West Cumbria

2009 Mark Wilkinson: A multiscale nested experiment for understanding and prediction of high rainfall and flood response spatial behaviour in the Eden catchment, Cumbria, UK

2009 Andrew Smith: A national scale rainfall analysis and event-based model of extremes for the UK

2004 Claire Walsh: Simulation and analysis of River flow regimes: implications for sustainable management of Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) under climate change

2000 Hayley Fowler: The impacts of climatic change and variability on water resources in Yorkshire

 Module leader for :

CEG3001 Design of Sustainable Engineering Solutions

CEG8523 Flood modelling and forecasting 

Contributor to:

CEG3004: Sustainable Engineering Systems Design Project

CEG3503: Hydrosystems Modelling 

• Articles

  • Iliadis C, Galiatsatou P, Glenis V, Prinos P, Kilsby C. Urban Flood Modelling under Extreme Rainfall Conditions for Building-Level Flood Exposure Analysis. Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 172.
  • Zan R, Blackburn A, Plaimart J, Acharya K, Walsh C, Stirling R, Kilsby C, Werner D. Environmental DNA clarifies impacts of combined sewer overflows on the bacteriology of an urban river and resulting risks to public health. Science of The Total Environment 2023, 889, 164282.
  • Iliadis C, Glenis V, Kilsby C. Cloud Modelling of Property-Level Flood Exposure in Megacities. Water 2023, 15(19), 3395.
  • Suroso S, Santoso PB, Birkinshaw S, Kilsby C, Badossy A, Aldrian E. Assessment of TRMM rainfall data for flood modelling in three contrasting catchments in Java, Indonesia. Journal of Hydroinformatics 2023, 25(3), 797–814.
  • Mckenna J, Glenis V, Kilsby C. A new riemann solver for modelling bridges in flood flows - Development and experimental validation. Applied Mathematics and Computation 2023, 447, 127870.
  • Serinaldi F, Lombardo F, Kilsby CG. Testing tests before testing data: an untold tale of compound events and binary dependence. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2022, 36, 1373-1395.
  • Serinaldi F, Briganti R, Kilsby CG, Dodd N. Sailing synthetic seas: Stochastic simulation of benchmark sea state time series. Coastal Engineering 2022, 176, 104164.
  • Bathurst JC, Hagon H, Hambly Barton F, Iroumé A, Kilbride A, Kilsby C. Partial afforestation has uncertain effect on flood frequency and peak discharge at large catchment scales (100-1000 km²), south-central Chile. Hydrological Processes 2022, 36, e14585.
  • Bardossy A, Kilsby C, Birkinshaw S, Wang N, Anwar F. Is Precipitation Responsible for the Most Hydrological Model Uncertainty?. Frontiers in Water 2022, 4, 836554.
  • Bertsch R, Glenis V, Kilsby C. Building level flood exposure analysis using a hydrodynamic model. Environmental Modelling and Software 2022, 156, 105490.
  • Zan R, Acharya K, Blackburn A, Kilsby CG, Werner D. A Mobile Laboratory Enables Fecal Pollution Source Tracking in Catchments Using Onsite qPCR Assays. Water 2022, 14(8), 1224.
  • Birkinshaw SJ, Kilsby C, O'donnell G, Quinn P, Adams R, Wilkinson ME. Stormwater detention ponds in urban catchments—analysis and validation of performance of ponds in the ouseburn catchment, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK. Water 2021, 13(18), 2521.
  • Birkinshaw SJ, O'Donnell G, Glenis V, Kilsby C. Improved hydrological modelling of urban catchments using runoff coefficients. Journal of Hydrology 2021, 594, 125884.
  • Richardson D, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Neal R, Dankers R. Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: a weather pattern approach. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2020, 20(1), 107-124.
  • McClean F, Dawson RJ, Kilsby CG. Implications of Using Global Digital Elevation Models for Flood Risk Analysis in Cities. Water Resources Research 2020, 56(10), e2020WR028241.
  • Serinaldi F, Chebana F, Kilsby CG. Dissecting innovative trend analysis. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2020, 34(5), 733-754.
  • Serinaldi F, Lombardo F, Kilsby CG. All in order: distribution of serially correlated order statistics with applications to hydrological extremes. Advances in Water Resources 2020, 144, 103686.
  • Richardson D, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ, Bardossy A. Weekly to multi-month persistence in sets of daily weather patterns over Europe and the North Atlantic Ocean. International Journal of Climatology 2019, 39(4), 2041-2056.
  • O'Donnell E, Thorne C, Ahilan S, Arthur S, Birkinshaw S, Butler D, Dawson D, Everett G, Fenner R, Glenis V, Kapetas L, Kilsby C, Krivtsov V, Lamond J, Maskrey S, O'Donnell G, Potter K, Vercruysse K, Vilcan T, Wright N. The Blue-Green Path to Urban Flood Resilience. Blue-Green Systems 2019, 1(1), 172-189.
  • Jones C, Cherry B, Kilsby C. Newcastle's 'twin cities'. Public Sector Executive 2019, Feb/Mar 2019.
  • Zhang R, Corte-Real J, Moreira M, Kilsby C, Birkinshaw S, Burton A, Fowler HJ, Forsythe N, Nunes JP, Sampaio E, dos Santos FL, Mourato S. Downscaling climate change of water availability, sediment yield and extreme events: Application to a Mediterranean climate basin. International Journal of Climatology 2019, 39(6), 2947-2963.
  • Zhang R, CorteReal J, Moreira M, Kilsby C, Burton A, Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Birkinshaw S, Forsythe N, Nunes JP, Sampaio E. Downscaling climate change of mean climatology and extremes of precipitation and temperature: Application to a Mediterranean climate basin. International Journal of Climatology 2019, 39(13), 4985-5005.
  • Vercruysse K, Dawson DA, Glenis V, Bertsch R, Wright N, Kilsby C. Developing spatial prioritization criteria for integrated urban flood management based on a source-to-impact flood analysis. Journal of Hydrology 2019, 578, 124038.
  • Ledingham J, Archer D, Lewis E, Fowler H, Kilsby C. Contrasting seasonality of storm rainfall and flood runoff in the UK and some implications for rainfall-runoff methods of flood estimation. Hydrology Research 2019, 50(5), 1309-1323.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG, Lombardo F. Untenable nonstationarity: An assessment of the fitness for purpose of trend tests in hydrology. Advances in Water Resources 2018, 111, 132-155.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. Unsurprising surprises: The frequency of record‐breaking and over‐threshold hydrological extremes under spatial and temporal dependence. Water Resources Research 2018, 54(9), 6460-6487.
  • Pollock MD, O'Donnell G, Quinn P, Dutton M, Black A, Wilkinson M, Colli M, Stagnaro M, Lanza LG, Lewis E, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. Quantifying and Mitigating Wind‐Induced Undercatch in Rainfall Measurements. Water Resources Research 2018, 54(6), 3863-3875.
  • Clement MA, Kilsby CG, Moore P. Multi-temporal synthetic aperture radar flood mapping using change detection. Journal of Flood Risk Management 2018, 11(2), 152-168.
  • Jones C, Kilsby C, Cherry B. Managing incidents with the 'digital twin'. Water Industry Journal 2018, 58-59.
  • Fu G, Wilkinson S, Dawson RJ, Fowler HJ, Kilsby C, Panteli M, Mancarella P. Integrated Approach to Assess the Resilience of Future Electricity Infrastructure Networks to Climate Hazards. IEEE Systems Journal 2018, 12(4), 3169-3180.
  • Janes V, Holman I, Birkinshaw S, O'Donnell G, Kilsby C. Improving bank erosion modelling at catchment scale by incorporating temporal and spatial variability. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 2018, 43(1), 124-133.
  • Guerreiro SB, Dawson RJ, Kilsby C, Lewis E, Ford A. Future heat-waves, droughts and floods in 571 European cities. Environmental Research Letters 2018, 13(3), 034009.
  • Serinaldi F, Loecker F, Kilsby CG, Bast H. Flood propagation and duration in large river basins: a data-driven analysis for reinsurance purposes. Natural Hazards 2018, 94(1), 71–92.
  • Lewis E, Birkinshaw S, Kilsby C, Fowler HJ. Development of a system for automated setup of a physically-based, spatially-distributed hydrological model for catchments in Great Britain. Environmental Modelling & Software 2018, 108, 102-110.
  • Jenkins KL, Hall JW, Glenis V, Kilsby C. A Probabilistic Analysis of Surface Water Flood Risk in London. Risk Analysis 2018, 38(6), 1169-1182.
  • Richardson D, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Neal R. A new precipitation and drought climatology based on weather patterns. International Journal of Climatology 2018, 38(2), 630-648.
  • Glenis V, Kutija V, Kilsby CG. A fully hydrodynamic urban flood modelling system representing buildings, green space and interventions. Environmental Modelling & Software 2018, 109, 272-292.
  • Bertsch R, Glenis V, Kilsby C. Urban Flood Simulation Using Synthetic Storm Drain Networks. Water 2017, 9(12), 925.
  • Guerreiro SB, Glenis V, Dawson RJ, Kilsby C. Pluvial flooding in European cities - A continental approach to urban flood modelling. Water 2017, 9(4), 296.
  • Guerreiro SB, Birkinshaw S, Kilsby C, Fowler HJ, Lewis E. Dry getting drier − the future of transnational river basins in Iberia. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 2017, 12, 238-252.
  • Guerreiro SB, Kilsby C, Fowler HJ. Assessing the threat of future megadrought in Iberia. International Journal of Climatology 2017, 37(15), 5024-5034.
  • Speight LJ, Hall JW, Kilsby CG. A multi-scale framework for flood risk analysis at spatially distributed locations. Journal of Flood Risk Management 2017, 10(1), 124-137.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. A blueprint for full collective flood risk estimation: demonstration for European river flooding. Risk Analysis 2017, 37(10), 1958-1976.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. Understanding persistence to avoid underestimation of collective flood risk. Water 2016, 8(4), 152.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. The importance of prewhitening in change point analysis under persistence. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2016, 30(2), 763-777.
  • Tye MR, Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Stephenson DB, Kilsby CG. Simulating multimodal seasonality in extreme daily precipitation occurrence. Journal of Hydrology 2016, 537, 117-129.
  • Guerreiro SB, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ. Rainfall in Iberian transnational basins: a drier future for the Douro, Tagus and Guadiana?. Climatic Change 2016, 135(3), 467-480.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. Irreversibility and complex network behavior of stream flow fluctuations. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 2016, 450, 585-600.
  • Darch GJC, McSweeney RT, Kilsby CG, Jones PD, Osborn TJ, Tomlinson JE. Analysing changes in short-duration extreme rainfall events. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water Management 2016, 169(5), 201-211.
  • Walsh CL, Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Burton A, Dawson RJ, Glenis V, Manning LJ, Jahanshahi G, Kilsby CG. Adaptation of water resource systems to an uncertain future. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2016, 20, 1869-1884.
  • Serinaldi F, Bárdossy A, Kilsby CG. Upper tail dependence in rainfall extremes: would we know it if we saw it?. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2015, 29(4), 1211-1233.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. Stationarity is undead: Uncertainty dominates the distribution of extremes. Advances in Water Resources 2015, 77, 17-36.
  • Byers E, Qadrdan M, Leathard A, Alderson D, Hall JW, Amezaga JM, Tran M, Kilsby CG, Chaudry M. Cooling water for Britain's future electricity supply. Proceedings of the ICE - Energy 2015, 168(3), 188-204.
  • Glenis V, Pinamonti V, Hall J, Kilsby C. A transient stochastic weather generator incorporating climate model uncertainty. Advances in Water Resources 2015, 85, 14-26.
  • Forsythe N, Hardy AJ, Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Kilsby CG, Archer DR, Hashmi MZ. A detailed cloud fraction climatology of the Upper Indus Basin and its implications for near surface air temperature. Journal of Climate 2015, 28(9), 3537-3556.
  • Tomlinson JE, McSweeney RT, Darch GJC, Kilsby CG. Wrapt - software for analysing UKCP09 weather generator output. Proceedings of the ICE - Water Management 2014, 167(6), 318-321.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. Simulating daily rainfall fields over large areas for collective risk estimation. Journal of Hydrology 2014, 512, 285-302.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. Rainfall extremes: Toward reconciliation after the battle of distributions. Water Resources Research 2014, 50(1), 336-352.
  • Jenkins K, Hall J, Glenis V, Kilsby C, McCarthy M, Goodess C, Smith D, Malleson N, Birkin M. Probabilistic spatial risk assessment of heat impacts and adaptations for London. Climatic Change 2014, 124(1-2), 105-117.
  • Jones M, Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. Objective classification of extreme rainfall regions for the UK and updated estimates of trends in regional extreme rainfall. International Journal of Climatology 2014, 34(3), 751-765.
  • Zhang HB, Wang YL, Liang QH, Smith LS, Kilsby CG. Non-negative depth reconstruction for a two-dimensional partial inertial inundation model. Journal of Hydroinformatics 2014, 16(5), 1158-1177.
  • Hou J, Liang Q, Zhang H, Hinkelmann R. Multislope MUSCL method applied to solve shallow water equations. Computers & Mathematics with Applications 2014, 68(12), 2012-2027.
  • Jenkins K, Gilbey M, Hall J, Glenis V, Kilsby C. Implications of climate change for thermal discomfort on underground railways. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 2014, 30, 1-9.
  • Merz B, Aerts J, Arnbjerg-Nielsen K, Baldi M, Becker A, Bichet A, Bloschl G, Bouwer LM, Brauer A, Cioffi F, Delgado JM, Gocht M, Guzzetti F, Harrigan S, Hirschboeck K, Kilsby C, Kron W, Kwon HH, Lall U, Merz R, Nissen K, Salvatti P, Swierczynski T, Ulbrich U, Viglione A, Ward PJ, Weiler M, Wilhelm B, Nied M. Floods and climate: emerging perspectives for flood risk assessment and management. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2014, 14(7), 1921-1942.
  • Lawson E, Thorne C, Ahilan S, Allen D, Arthur S, Everett G, Fenner R, Glenis V, Guan D, Hoang L, Kilsby C, Lamond J, Mant J, Maskrey S, Mount N, Sleigh A, Smith L, Wright N. Delivering and evaluating the multiple flood risk benefits in Blue-Green cities: An interdisciplinary approach. WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment 2014, 184, 113-124.
  • Birkinshaw SJ, Moore P, Kilsby CG, O'Donnell GM, Hardy AJ, Berry PAM. Daily discharge estimation at ungauged river sites using remote sensing. Hydrological Processes 2014, 28(3), 1043-1054.
  • Hall JW, Henriques JJ, Hickford AJ, Nicholls RJ, Baruah P, Birkin M, Chaudry M, Curtis TP, Eyre N, Jones C, Kilsby CG, Leathard A, Lorenz A, Malleson N, McLeod F, Powrie W, Preston J, Rai N, Street R, Stringfellow A, Thoung C, Tyler P, Velykiene R, Watson G, Watson JW. Assessing the Long-Term Performance of Cross-Sectoral Strategies for National Infrastructure. Journal of Infrastructure Systems 2014, 20(3).
  • Forsythe N, Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Burton A, Kilsby CG, Archer DR, Harpham C, Hashmi MZ. Application of a stochastic weather generator to assess climate change impacts in a semi-arid climate: The Upper Indus Basin. Journal of Hydrology 2014, 517, 1019-1034.
  • Guerreiro SB, Kilsby CG, Serinaldi F. Analysis of time variation of rainfall in transnational basins in Iberia: abrupt changes or trends?. International Journal of Climatology 2014, 34(1), 114-133.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. The intrinsic dependence structure of peak, volume, duration and average intensity of hyetographs and hydrographs. Water Resources Research 2013, 49(6), 3423-3442.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. On the sampling distribution of Allan factor estimator for a homogeneous Poisson process and its use to test inhomogeneities at multiple scales. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 2013, 392(5), 1080-1089.
  • Burton A, Glenis V, Jones MR, Kilsby CG. Models of daily rainfall cross-correlation for the United Kingdom. Environmental Modelling & Software 2013, 49, 22-33.
  • Glenis V, McGough AS, Kutija V, Kilsby C, Woodman S. Flood modelling for cities using Cloud computing. Journal of Cloud Computing: Advances, Systems and Applications 2013, 2(1), 7.
  • Jones MR, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Blenkinsop S. An assessment of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall in the UK between 1961 and 2009. International Journal of Climatology 2013, 33(5), 1178-1194.
  • Hall JW, Watts G, Keil M, de Vial L, Street R, Conlan K, O'Connell PE, Beven KJ, Kilsby CG. Towards risk-based water resources planning in England and Wales under a changing climate. Water and Environment Journal 2012, 26(1), 118-129.
  • Ewen J, O'Connell E, Bathurst J, Birkinshaw SJ, Kilsby C, Parkin G, O'Donnell G. Physically-based modelling, uncertainty, and pragmatism – Comment on: ‘Système Hydrologique Europeén (SHE): review and perspectives after 30 years development in distributed physically-based hydrological modelling’ by Jens Christian Refsgaard, Børge Storm and Thomas Clausen. Hydrology Research 2012, 43(6), 945-947.
  • Forsythe N, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Archer DR. Opportunities from remote sensing for supporting water resources management in village/valley scale catchments in the Upper Indus Basin. Water Resources Management 2012, 26(4), 845-871.
  • Bovolo CI, Pereira R, Parkin G, Kilsby C, Wagner T. Fine-scale regional climate patterns in the Guianas, tropical South America, based on observations and reanalysis data. International Journal of Climatology 2012, 32(11), 1665-1689.
  • Blanc J, Hall JW, Roche N, Dawson RJ, Cesses Y, Burton A, Kilsby CG. Enhanced efficiency of pluvial flood risk estimation in urban areas using spatial-temporal rainfall simulations. Journal of Flood Risk Management 2012, 5(2), 143-152.
  • Forsythe N, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ, Archer DR. Assessment of Runoff Sensitivity in the Upper Indus Basin to Interannual Climate Variability and Potential Change Using MODIS Satellite Data Products. Mountain Research and Development 2012, 32(1), 16-29.
  • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. A modular class of multisite monthly rainfall generators for water resource management and impact studies. Journal of Hydrology 2012, 464-465, 528-540.
  • Jones PD, Harpham C, Goodess CM, Kilsby CG. Perturbing a Weather Generator using change factors derived from Regional Climate Model simulations. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 2011, 18(4), 503-511.
  • Birkinshaw SJ, O'Donnell GM, Moore P, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ, Berry PAM. Using satellite altimetry data to augment flow estimation techniques on the Mekong River. Hydrological Processes 2010, 24(26), 3811-3825.
  • Manning LJ, Hall JW, Kilsby CG, Glendinning S, Anderson MG. Spatial analysis of the reliability of transport networks subject to rainfall-induced landslides. Hydrological Processes 2008, 22(17), 3349-3360.
  • Burton A, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ, Cowpertwait PSP, O'Connell PE. RainSim: A spatial-temporal stochastic rainfall modelling system. Environmental Modelling & Software 2008, 23(12), 1356-1369.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. Using regional climate model data to simulate historical and future river flows in northwest England. Climatic Change 2007, 80(3-4), 337-367.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Stunell J. Modelling the impacts of projected future climate change on water resources in north-west England. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2007, 11(3), 1115-1126.
  • Walsh CL, Kilsby CG. Implications of climate change on flow regime affecting Atlantic salmon. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2007, 11(3), 1127-1143.
  • Kilsby CG, Tellier SS, Fowler HJ, Howels TR. Hydrological impacts of climate change on the Tejo and Guadiana Rivers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2007, 11(3), 1175-1189.
  • Kilsby CG, Jones PD, Burton A, Ford AC, Fowler HJ, Harpham C, James P, Smith A, Wilby RL. A daily weather generator for use in climate change studies. Environmental Modelling and Software 2007, 22(12), 1705-1719.
  • Ekström M, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Jones PD. New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 2. Future estimates and use in impact studies. Journal of Hydrology 2005, 300(1-4), 234-251.
  • Fowler HJ, Ekström M, Kilsby CG, Jones PD. New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 1. Assessment of control climate. Journal of Hydrology 2005, 300(1-4), 212-233.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE, Burton A. A weather-type conditioned multi-site stochastic rainfall model for the generation of scenarios of climatic variability and change. Journal of Hydrology 2005, 308(1-4), 50-66.
  • Sloan WT, Kilsby CG, Lunn R. Incorporating topographic variability into a simple regional snowmelt model. Hydrological Processes 2004, 18(17), 3371-3390.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. Modeling the impacts of climatic change and variability on the reliability, resilience, and vulnerability of a water resource system. Water Resources Research 2003, 39(8), 1222.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. Implications of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall. Geophysical Research Letters 2003, 30(13), 1720.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. A regional frequency analysis of United Kingdom extreme rainfall from 1961 to 2000. International Journal of Climatology 2003, 23(11), 1313-1334.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. Precipitation and the North Atlantic Oscillation: A study of climatic variability in Northern England. International Journal of Climatology 2002, 22(7), 843-866.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. A weather-type approach to analysing water resource drought in the Yorkshire region from 1881 to 1998. Journal of Hydrology 2002, 262(1-4), 177-192.
  • Cowpertwait PSP, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. A space-time Neyman-Scott model of rainfall: Empirical analysis of extremes. Water Resources Research 2002, 38(8), 1131.
  • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. A stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional water resource systems under changed climatic conditions. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2000, 4(2), 263-281.
  • Ewen J, Sloan WT, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. UP Modelling System for large scale hydrology: deriving large-scale physically-based parameters for the Arkansas-Red River basin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 1999, 3(1), 125-136.
  • Kilsby CG, Ewen J, Sloan WT, Burton A, Fallows CS, O'Connell PE. The UP modelling system for large scale hydrology: Simulation of the Arkansas-Red River basin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 1999, 3(1), 137-149.
  • Kilsby CG, Cowpertwait PSP, O'Connell PE, Jones PD. Predicting rainfall statistics in England and Wales using atmospheric circulation variables. International Journal of Climatology 1998, 18(5), 523-539.

• Authored Books

  • Jones PD, Kilsby CG, Harpham C, Glenis V, Burton A. UK Climate Projections science report: Projections of future daily climate for the UK from the Weather Generator. London, UK: UK Climate Impacts Programme, 2010.
  • Jones PD, Kilsby CG, Harpham C, Glenis V, Burton A. UK Climate Projections science report: Projections of future daily climate for the UK from the Weather Generator. London, UK: UK Climate Impacts Programme, 2009.

• Book Chapter

  • Simpson M, Ives MC, Hall JW, Kilsby CG. Water supply systems assessment. In: The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach. Cambridge University Press, 2016, pp.114-133.

• Conference Proceedings (inc. Abstracts)

  • Ahilan S, Wright N, Sleigh A, Too S, Glenis V, Kilsby C, Kutija V. Flood Risk Management in Small Urban River Using a Sustainable Urban Drainage System: Wortley Beck, Leeds, UK. In: 11th International Conference on Hydroinformatics. 2014, New York, USA: Duraspace.
  • Galatioto F, Glenis V, Roberts R, Kilsby C. Exploring and Modelling the Impacts of Rainfall and Flooding on Transport Network. The case study of Newcastle upon Tyne. In: 2nd International Conference on Urban Sustainability and Resilience. 2014, University College London, UK. In Press.
  • Glenis V, Kutija V, Kilsby C, McGough AS, Woodman S. Urban flood modelling using cloud computing. In: International Conference on Flood Resilience Experiences in Asia and Europe (ICFR 2013). 2013, Exeter, UK.
  • Dawson RJ, Walsh CL, Kilsby CG. Earth Systems Engineering 2012: A technical symposium on systems engineering for sustainable adaptation to global change. In: Earth Systems Engineering 2012: A technical symposium on systems engineering for sustainable adaptation to global change. 2012, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK: Centre for Earth Systems Engineering Research, Newcastle University.
  • Kilsby CG, Moaven-Hashemi A, O'Connell PE. Simulation of rainfall extremes: fitting to observed annual maxima. In: First International Conference on Flood Risk. 2004, University of Bath: Institute of Mathematics and its Applications.

• Editorial

  • Walsh C, Fowler H, Kilsby C, Black A. Role of hydrology in managing consequences of a changing global environment. Hydrology Research 2012, 43(5), 548-550.

• Report

  • Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. Supplement to: Brown S, Boorman P, McDonald R, Murphy J, 2009. Interpretation for use of surface wind speed projections from the 11-member Met Office Regional Climate Model ensemble. UK: Defra, 2010. UKCP Technical Note.