School of Engineering

Staff Profile

Dr Francesco Serinaldi

Willis Research Fellow


Dr Francesco Serinaldi is a Willis Research Fellow for the School of Engineering at Newcastle University. His areas of expertise are statistical analysis and stochastic modelling of hydro-environmental processes, and natural hazard risk assessment.


- Ph.D. in Hydraulic Engineering ("Sapienza" Università di Roma, Italy)
- Civil Hydraulic Engineer Graduate degree  ("Sapienza" Università di Roma, Italy)

Previous positions

- 2010/2011 Research Associate (Università della Tuscia, Italy)
- 2007/2009 Research Associate ("Sapienza" Università di Roma, Italy)
- 2007/2008 Adjunct Professor for the class "Statistical Methods for Environmental Sciences" (joint degree Università della Tuscia, Viterbo, Italy - Pace University, New York, US)
- 2005 Visitor research engineer at IIHR, Iowa Institute of Hydraulic Research, University of Iowa


- International Association Hydrological Sciences (IAHS) since 2004
- American Geophysical Union (AGU) since 2009
- European Geosciences Union (EGU) since 2010


Research interests

- statistical analysis and modelling of geophysical, financial, and clinical data
- univariate/multivariate frequency analysis
- time series analysis and modelling
- fractal/multifractal analysis and modelling
- complexity-entropy analysis


CoSMoS-R [Complete Stochastic Modelling Solution in R]. CoSMoS-R is an R package implementing the meta-Gaussian framework for time series and random field modelling and simulation proposed by Papalexiou (2018), and later extended and generalized by Papalexiou et al. (2018) and Papalexiou and Serinaldi (2020)
See CoSMoS-R vignette for examples, and CoSMoS-R website for additional information.

Esteem indicators

WoS bibliometric statistics (October 2020):

- Sum of times cited without self-citations: 2673                                              - Citing articles without self-citations: 2456
- Average citations per item: 45.31
- H-index: 32
Ha-index: !?

Scopus profile

Editorial boards:

- Associate Editor for Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment [SERRA] (2015-)
- Associate Editor for Water Resources Research [WRR] (2018-)

Reviewer for:

   - Acta Geophysica
   - Advances in Geosciences
   - Advances in Water Resources
   - Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 
   - Atmosphere (MDPI)
   - Atmospheric Research
   - Catena
   - Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
   - Climate Research
   - Climatic Change
   - Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation
   - Communications in Statistics - Case Studies and Data Analysis
   - Computers and Geosciences
   - Energies (MDPI)
   - Energy Conversion and Management
   - Entropy (MDPI)
   - Environmental Modelling & Software
   - Environmental Research Letters
   - Global and Planetary Change
   - Hydrological Processes
   - Hydrological Sciences Journal
   - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
   - Hydrology Research
   - IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics
   - International Journal of Climatology
   - International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems
   - Iranian Journal of Science and Technology, Transaction B, Engineering
   - Journal of Aerosol Science 
   - Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
   - Journal of Arid Environments
   - Journal of Biological Systems
   - Journal of Climate     
   - Journal of Computational Science
   - Journal of Economics and International Finance
   - Journal of Flood Risk Management
   - Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres)
   - Journal of Hydro-environment Research
   - Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
   - Journal of Hydrology
   - Journal of Hydrometeorology
   - Journal of Royal Statistical Society Series C
   - McGraw-Hill
   - Meteorological Applications
   - Natural Hazards
   - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
   - Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
   - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
   - Physics and Chemistry of the Earth
   - Physics Letters A
   - PLoS ONE
   - Recent Patents on Computer Science
   - Recent Patents on Electrical & Electronic Engineering
   - Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
   - The International Journal of River Basin Management
   - Theoretical and Applied Climatology
   - Transactions of the American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers
   - Water (MDPI)
   - Water and Environment Journal
   - Water Resources Research
   - Water Science and Engineering 
   - Weather and Climate Extremes
   - WIREs Water 
   - US Department of Energy (Nov-Dec, 2008)


- “Certificate of outstanding contribution in reviewing” for Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment in recognition of the contributions made to ensure the quality of the journal. Awarded in May 2018.

“2015 Editors’ Citation for Excellence in Refereeing” for Water Resources Research. Hanson, B., and R. van der Hilst (2016), Recognizing 2015 reviewers for the American Geophysical Union, Eos, 97, doi:10.1029/2016EO050325. Published on 26 May 2016.

- The paper Lombardo F., Volpi E., Koutsoyiannis D., Serinaldi F. (2017) "A theoretically consistent stochastic cascade for temporal disaggregation of intermittent rainfall", Water Resources Research doi:10.1002/2017WR020529 was selected by the Editors as an “AGU Journal Highlight”. The paper is highlighted in section “AGU Research Spotlight” of the AGU newspaper EOS: Witman, S. (2017), Shedding light on intermittent rainfall, Eos, 98,, 14 June 2017.

- The paper Serinaldi F. (2011) “Analytical confidence intervals for index flow flow duration curves”, 47(2), W02542, Water Resources Research, doi:10.1029/2010WR009408 was selected by the Editors as an “AGU Journal Highlight”. The paper is highlighted in section “AGU Research Spotlight” of the AGU newspaper EOS 92(22) 31 May 2011, 192 

- The paper Villarini G., Smith J.A., Serinaldi F., Ntelekos A. (2011) “Analyses of seasonal and annual maximum daily discharge records for central Europe”, Journal of Hydrology, 399(3-4), 299–312, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.01.007, was included in the European Commission's environmental news service for policy makers Science for Environment Policy, 248, 14 July 2011

Invited speaker:

- Serinaldi F., Daily rainfall simulation at multiple sites by bivariate copula-based mixed distributions, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 12, EGU2010-5413, 2010, EGU General Assembly 2010, Vienna, Austria, May 02-07, 2010. 

- Serinaldi F., The copula function in hydrological applications, Workshop “Statistics and environmental resources management: problems and methods”, University of Naples “Federico II”, Faculty of Political Sciences, Department of Statistical Sciences, Naples, September 28, 2007


Postgraduate teaching

CEG8501/CEG8502 Quantitative Methods in Engineering (Applied statistics)